Edgewise / Coin odds / Render

How often do Render's odds come true?

Edgewise shows Render traders the odds: where the week and the day are likely to close, and the chance price reaches each level. We checked those numbers on Render data the model was never fitted on, December 2025 to September 2026.

WEEKLY RANGE

The 80% range held 78% of the time

Before each week plays out, Edgewise draws the range Render should close inside 80% of the time. On 127 readings through the week, it held 78% of the time.

DAILY RANGE

The 80% range held 83% of the time

The same range, drawn for each day. 885 readings.

LEVEL ODDS

Within 0.1 points of what happened

Next to each price level the app shows the chance price reaches it. Across 1,961 readings for Render, those odds were on average within 0.1 percentage points of how often it actually happened. For a level one day's range away, the odds said 13% and it happened 11% of the time (540 cases).

See Render's odds for today

The ranges and level odds are on the chart, for Render and 34 more coins.

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How this was checked

Every figure on this page comes from Edgewise's own clearance test: the models were checked once on December 2025 to September 2026, data they were never fitted on. A coin goes live in the app only if the ranges and level odds on this page pass. These are measured frequencies, not promises: an 80% range still misses about one time in five. Not financial advice.

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