Edgewise / Coin odds

Crypto odds that come true, measured coin by coin

For each of the 35 coins in Edgewise we checked the numbers a trader reads, on a year of data the model never saw (October 2025 to September 2026, or from later where a coin's history is shorter). An 80% range should hold about 80% of the time; level odds should match how often levels are really reached.

CoinWeekly 80% range heldDaily 80% range heldLevel odds off by (points)
Bitcoin84%79%0.7
Ethereum87%77%1.7
BNB86%83%0.3
XRP83%84%0.3
Solanaoff85%0.3
TRON84%86%0.1
Zcashoff78%2.9
Hyperliquid76%84%1.5
Dogecoinoff84%0.1
Chainlink84%84%0.5
Cardano79%81%0.6
Stellar80%80%0.3
NEAR Protocol81%81%1.3
Bitcoin Cash74%81%0.2
Uniswap77%80%0.6
Litecoin81%84%0.4
Avalancheoff84%0.3
Hedera85%84%0.4
Sui82%82%0.3
Bittensoroff84%0.6
Ethenaoff83%1.0
Aave85%82%0.8
Ondo84%82%0.5
Polkadot83%83%1.3
Worldcoinoff81%2.1
Internet Computer79%80%1.8
Morpho85%85%1.5
Ethereum Classic83%81%0.9
Arbitrum87%83%1.5
Polygon (POL)82%84%0.1
Algorand83%84%0.1
Jupiter79%83%1.5
Render78%83%0.1
Curve DAO84%85%1.6
LayerZero85%82%0.2

"off" means the weekly range did not pass for that coin, so the app does not draw it.

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