Edgewise / Coin odds / Chainlink

How often do Chainlink's odds come true?

Edgewise shows Chainlink traders the odds: where the week and the day are likely to close, and the chance price reaches each level. We checked those numbers on Chainlink data the model was never fitted on, October 2025 to September 2026.

WEEKLY RANGE

The 80% range held 84% of the time

Before each week plays out, Edgewise draws the range Chainlink should close inside 80% of the time. On 154 readings through the week, it held 84% of the time.

DAILY RANGE

The 80% range held 84% of the time

The same range, drawn for each day. 1,089 readings.

LEVEL ODDS

Within 0.5 points of what happened

Next to each price level the app shows the chance price reaches it. Across 2,417 readings for Chainlink, those odds were on average within 0.5 percentage points of how often it actually happened. For a level one day's range away, the odds said 12% and it happened 11% of the time (724 cases).

See Chainlink's odds for today

The ranges and level odds are on the chart, for Chainlink and 34 more coins.

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How this was checked

Every figure on this page comes from Edgewise's own clearance test: the models were checked once on October 2025 to September 2026, data they were never fitted on. A coin goes live in the app only if the ranges and level odds on this page pass. These are measured frequencies, not promises: an 80% range still misses about one time in five. Not financial advice.

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