Edgewise shows Morpho traders the odds: where the week and the day are likely to close, and the chance price reaches each level. We checked those numbers on Morpho data the model was never fitted on, April 2026 to September 2026.
WEEKLY RANGE
The 80% range held 85% of the time
Before each week plays out, Edgewise draws the range Morpho should close inside 80% of the time. On 73 readings through the week, it held 85% of the time.
DAILY RANGE
The 80% range held 85% of the time
The same range, drawn for each day. 513 readings.
LEVEL ODDS
Within 1.5 points of what happened
Next to each price level the app shows the chance price reaches it. Across 1,125 readings for Morpho, those odds were on average within 1.5 percentage points of how often it actually happened. For a level one day's range away, the odds said 14% and it happened 13% of the time (300 cases).
The ranges and level odds are on the chart, for Morpho and 34 more coins.
Start freeEvery figure on this page comes from Edgewise's own clearance test: the models were checked once on April 2026 to September 2026, data they were never fitted on. A coin goes live in the app only if the ranges and level odds on this page pass. These are measured frequencies, not promises: an 80% range still misses about one time in five. Not financial advice.