Edgewise › Measured
The signals most traders act on, tested the way they are usually traded — entry at the close, a stop and a 2:1 target — against random entries on the same crypto coins at equally jumpy times. Every result was checked under six different setups and corrected for running many tests at once.
None of these signals beat random entries in a way that held up. We ran 44 tests (each signal, with a time limit of 1, 5, 10 or 20 days): 24 were no better than random, 19 had too few trades to judge, and 1 differed from random in some setups but not all.
“Not enough data” means the signal fired too rarely for the test to tell an edge from noise. It is not the same as failing, and these pages never treat it that way.
Edgewise shows honest probabilities for live markets and publishes a graded forward record of the direction engine behind them — its next-candle probabilities, which the app itself does not print — misses included. Testing popular signals is the same habit, pointed outward.
See today’s probabilities on Edgewise
See our own graded track record →
The live probabilities are the paid product — have a look if they are useful to you, and ignore them if not. Nothing on this page is gated.