under 3% chance XRP trades $10,000 before today's 00:00 UTC close. It was at $1.4328 when these odds were computed, so it would have to rise 697834.1% first.
Computed at 16:13 UTC, 07 Oct 2026.
$1.34765 to $1.47993
The 80% range for where XRP closes this week. It held 83% of the time, read 154 times across weeks it was never fitted on.
This page answers for today's 00:00 UTC close because that is the horizon these odds were proven on: on data the model never saw, XRP's odds landed within 0.3 points of how often prices really got there, on average. Longer horizons are not proven yet, and nothing here supports a figure for this year, so the page gives none.
Below 3% the odds cannot tell one long shot from another, so they read "under 3%".
The chart shows every key level for XRP with its chance of being reached today. How XRP's odds measured up.
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