under 3% chance Solana trades $10,000 before today's 00:00 UTC close. It was at $116.64 when these odds were computed, so it would have to rise 8473.4% first.
Computed at 16:13 UTC, 07 Oct 2026.
This week's 80% range is switched off for Solana: in testing it held 90% of the time, wider than an 80% range should be. See how it was tested.
This page answers for today's 00:00 UTC close because that is the horizon these odds were proven on: on data the model never saw, Solana's odds landed within 0.3 points of how often prices really got there, on average. Longer horizons are not proven yet, and nothing here supports a figure for this year, so the page gives none.
Below 3% the odds cannot tell one long shot from another, so they read "under 3%".
The chart shows every key level for Solana with its chance of being reached today. How Solana's odds measured up.
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